Are We In El Nino Or La Nina 2024 Predictions. A la niña watch is issued when la niña conditions are expected to emerge within the next six months. The current el niño is now one of the strongest on record, new data shows, catapulting it into rare “super el niño” territory, but forecasters believe that la niña is.

The oscillation is said to be in the positive phase during an el niño and the negative. La niña is still expected to emerge this fall and is likely to persist through the winter, according to an updated outlook from noaa.